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Problem
#11508

Develop a simple linear regression analysis between Finley Heaters' sales and national housing starts. What percentage of variation in Finley Heaters' sales is explained by national housing starts? Would you recommend that Finley Heaters management use the forecast from Part a to plan facility expansion?

6. Finley Heaters Inc. is a mid-sized manufacturer of residential water heaters. Sales have grown during the last several years, and the company's production capacity needs to be increased. The company's management wonders if 'national housing starts' might be a good indicator of the company's sales:

"
National Housing Starts Annual Sales
Year (millions) (millions)
1 6.2 57
2 5.1 59
3 6.5 65
4 7.9 78
5 6.3 72
6 7.4 80
7 7 86

A) Develop a simple linear regression analysis between Finley Heaters' sales and national housing starts. Forecast Finley Heaters' sales for the next two years. The National Home Builders Association estimates that 'National housing starts' will be 7.1 million and 8.0 million for the next two years.

B) What percentage of variation in Finley Heaters' sales is explained by national housing starts?

C) Would you recommend that Finley Heaters management use the forecast from Part a to plan facility expansion? Why or why not? What could be done to improve the forecast?




see attached problem.

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qm regression.doc
6. Finley Heaters Inc. is a mid-sized manufacturer of residential water
heaters. Sales have grown during the last several years, and the
company's production capacity needs to be increased. The company's
management wonders if ‘national housing starts’ might be a good
indicator of the company's sales:



Finley Heaters



National

"

Housing Starts Annual Sales

Year (millions) (millions)

1 6.2 57

2 5.1 59

3 6.5 65

4 7.9 78

5 6.3 72

6 7.4 80

7 7.0 86



A) Develop a simple linear regression analysis between Finley Heaters'
sales and national housing starts.

Forecast Finley Heaters' sales for the next two years. The National Home
Builders Association estimates that

‘National housing starts’ will be 7.1 million and 8.0 million for
the next two years.

B) What percentage of variation in Finley Heaters' sales is explained by
national housing starts?

C) Would you recommend that Finley Heaters management use the forecast
from Part a to plan facility

expansion? Why or why not? What could be done to improve the forecast?

Solution Summary

Uses regression analysis to forecast Finley Heaters' sales using national housing starts as the independent variable.

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